With the Liberals sizeable lead in the polls here in Ontario, it wouldn't surprise me if they orchestrated their own defeat on Tuesday.
The Libs know they're not likely to recover in Quebec -- not now, not 7 months from now. Gilles Duceppe is probably going to stay, so the Bloc will stay where they are in the polls, or go up. Either way, it won't affect the Liberals positively, so they have nothing to lose by going now.
They also know that the Conservatives have dropped in the polls, and nothing in the immediate future is likely to make them rebound.
Yesterday's court ruling puts the Libs in the 'saviour' role yet again. They never mind speaking with a forked tongue, and will not hesitate to suggest that it is not inconsistent to accept court rulings over same-sex marriage and reject them over health care.
The Liberals have seen that their own rancid behaviour tends to have a negative affect on the Conservatives. Things are about as bad as they can be for Tories. The Libs can use innuendo and speculation throughout a campaign. The RCMP has still not commented as to whether there will be an investigation into the Grewal tapes -- which, after this much time leads one to believe that they don't think it's too big a deal. The Ethics Commissioner is ages away from reporting on anything. It seems unlikely that the Libs would want to delay an election because there is always the risk that he might actually do his job competently in this case.
Gomery is over, and appears to have fizzled.
Allowing themselves to be defeated now would take away the basis for the Conservative claim that they bought, or sought to buy votes because they would do anything to stay in power. What better way to show that Grewal was lying, than be defeated? Winning by losing -- in this twisted country, that actually makes sense to me.
An election now due to a defeat on a money bill, would allow the Liberals to campaign on the NDP budget, and paint the Conservatives as 'against the environment', 'against post-secondary education', 'against affordable housing'. They could continue to promise this $4.6 billion giveaway in one breath, and say 'contingent on there being money to pay down the deficit' in the next. They'd please the leftists, while giving the nudge and wink to business.
They are in the best possible position to win an election now, and it would be unlikely that they will ever have to follow through on any of their promises. Ontario and Atlantic Canada will vote for them and no one else matters.
When the election is over, everyone will blame the lack of a credible alternative for the re-election of the most blatantly corrupt, immoral and nefarious regime in the western world. They will be wrong, but that never stopped them before.
So, what do you think?
canadianna
9 comments:
Modern day Canadian liberals will always have the advantage because they do not stand for any policy in particular. They stand for whatever they think people will buy. They can be the NDP one day and the CPC the next.
What has been the most disappointing in all of this for me, is that corruption and constitutional abuse should trump all other issues and should've spelled the demise of the Libs for a long long time. Yet here we are, with them doing just fine.
As well, I can't ever recall the MSM being so openly bias as it is today... it is shamelessly pro-Liberal.
If, the nature of certian parts of this country have evolved, to where corruption is tolerated, then Canada has indeed changed. There are alternatives to the Liberals, and only bigotry keeps people from seeing that.
So, between bigotry and tolerance of corruption, we will keep the status quo in Canada. Shameful, discouraging, and not the Canada that I used to be proud of.
Depressing, C; this would make sense. With the Bloc in flux because of Duceppe's possible move to provincial politics, the CPC giving the Libranos campaign ammo with its internecine warfare, and the NDP stuck where it's going to be stuck, why not?
If the CPC braintrust (and I use that phrase a tad loosely) quickly develops a Medicare strategy that (A) rips Paul Martin a new one or two for his system-debilitating cuts as finance minister, (B) demonstrates that the Libs cannot be trusted to fix the problems in the system, and (C) shows that the CPC can meet the goals of the system without gutting it, they could do enough damage to form a minority government with the Bloc.
Wishful thinking, eh?
Cheers.
I hope that you are wrong, but I suspect you are not. Liberals are opportunists and Martin will not allow a golden opportunity to pass.
Should we (Canadians) re-elect these scoundrels it will usher in a time of profound change for Canada.
For too many, this will be the last straw. Having reached their "tipping point", Quebecers and Albertans will depart Confederation. Who can blame them?
Democracy has been used and abused to such an extent that we fail to recognize it any more. At least not here in Ontario.
Hey, C-Anna. That was me who just deleated the last post. I was listening to the wrong voice in my head.
What I meant to say was this: I think yer bang on. Soon as that poll came out, Martin just seemed kinda smug.
I even wrote a post bout it myself Here.
I hope you're wrong.
But we'll see what happens.
Excellent summary of the situation -- the Lib's have devolved into perfect poster children for Nietzsche's 'will to power.'
I hope you're right - judging from the financial support the CPC are getting from grassroots (I forget, was it not 80-85% donations were under 200, yet they still rec'd more in the first quarter of the year than the Libs with all their corporate/wealthy donors?), the Libs and the polls could very well be wrong.
I think there is a groundswell out there that has yet to be counted.
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