Often we see that a politician peaks too soon before an election for his own good. Then he'll plateau or even drop in the polls and when the vote finally comes, everyone recalls those high numbers back when, and wonders what happened that the bottom fell out.
Timing is everything in politics. A six-week election cycle is too long for many candidates. After four, the wheels start to fall off. People can't sustain the energy, and positivity (or negativity) required to keep up the act for so long.
With our current system of fixed elections, the next election cycle starts the day after the last. Everyone is constantly campaigning. Voter fatigue is a huge issue, I think. It can take an epic event to engage or enrage voters to step out of their apathy and actually care about an election when they're forced to digest politics daily.
That epic event happened for Justin Trudeau back in February, and has been happening ever since.
While the SNC-Lavalin affair and its various collateral boondoggles might seem like a gift to the opposition parties, timing might be the saving grace of the Prime Minister.
We've had two full months of the scandal and its subsequent fallout, and the Prime Minister, while showing signs of agitation, remains leader of his party, with the support of the majority of his caucus. His personal polling numbers have tanked, yes, but the Liberals haven't dropped to levels that really challenge their ability to rise up and win come October. There has been no surge in any of the opposition parties, and there is no reason to believe that it might happen at all, if it hasn't by now.
The Liberal Party election strategy has, for a long time, been to promote fear, hatred and division. It used to be Stephen Harper's hidden agenda, but they've upped their game this time -- apparently white nationalists are lurking everywhere in this incarnation of the Conservative Party, along with people who want the world to end in twelve years because of their Climate Change Denial, and there might even be some conservatives who hold socially conservative views on marriage and abortion when we all know, you're not allowed to think like that anymore, even if you never say it out loud, and even if neither of those subjects is an election issue.
Twitter is a shit-flinging show, with Liberal MPs testing what will either stick, or rile enough CPC supporting tweeters to bare their teeth and push back.
They will have plenty of time to provoke and to screenshot and to use ordinary people's frustration at being vilified, as fodder for their vile accusations.
That's politics I guess. Use the weakness of the enemy -- and I guess that's the thing that bothers me most. I don't believe that conservatives view liberals or progressive as enemies, but I do believe that Liberals see us that way.
In an election campaign that has not yet begun, Canadians who are going to hate him have already reached peak-hatred of PMJT, but I don't think that Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are even close to their peak-hatred of us.
Not looking forward to all the things they plan to accuse me of, and the names they're going to call me. I'm already weary of it and it's barely started. And I dread if their messaging works on vulnerable and fearful people, and propels them to victory on the crushed soul of the nation.
Sounds dramatic, I know. But this is personal. It's meant to be. They want to make you uncomfortable and angry and bitter, because that's how they need other people to see you.
Shame.
canadianna
Timing is everything in politics. A six-week election cycle is too long for many candidates. After four, the wheels start to fall off. People can't sustain the energy, and positivity (or negativity) required to keep up the act for so long.
With our current system of fixed elections, the next election cycle starts the day after the last. Everyone is constantly campaigning. Voter fatigue is a huge issue, I think. It can take an epic event to engage or enrage voters to step out of their apathy and actually care about an election when they're forced to digest politics daily.
That epic event happened for Justin Trudeau back in February, and has been happening ever since.
While the SNC-Lavalin affair and its various collateral boondoggles might seem like a gift to the opposition parties, timing might be the saving grace of the Prime Minister.
We've had two full months of the scandal and its subsequent fallout, and the Prime Minister, while showing signs of agitation, remains leader of his party, with the support of the majority of his caucus. His personal polling numbers have tanked, yes, but the Liberals haven't dropped to levels that really challenge their ability to rise up and win come October. There has been no surge in any of the opposition parties, and there is no reason to believe that it might happen at all, if it hasn't by now.
The Liberal Party election strategy has, for a long time, been to promote fear, hatred and division. It used to be Stephen Harper's hidden agenda, but they've upped their game this time -- apparently white nationalists are lurking everywhere in this incarnation of the Conservative Party, along with people who want the world to end in twelve years because of their Climate Change Denial, and there might even be some conservatives who hold socially conservative views on marriage and abortion when we all know, you're not allowed to think like that anymore, even if you never say it out loud, and even if neither of those subjects is an election issue.
Twitter is a shit-flinging show, with Liberal MPs testing what will either stick, or rile enough CPC supporting tweeters to bare their teeth and push back.
They will have plenty of time to provoke and to screenshot and to use ordinary people's frustration at being vilified, as fodder for their vile accusations.
That's politics I guess. Use the weakness of the enemy -- and I guess that's the thing that bothers me most. I don't believe that conservatives view liberals or progressive as enemies, but I do believe that Liberals see us that way.
In an election campaign that has not yet begun, Canadians who are going to hate him have already reached peak-hatred of PMJT, but I don't think that Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are even close to their peak-hatred of us.
Not looking forward to all the things they plan to accuse me of, and the names they're going to call me. I'm already weary of it and it's barely started. And I dread if their messaging works on vulnerable and fearful people, and propels them to victory on the crushed soul of the nation.
Sounds dramatic, I know. But this is personal. It's meant to be. They want to make you uncomfortable and angry and bitter, because that's how they need other people to see you.
Shame.
canadianna
